Breeding Watch – October 29, 2014

Last week saw the end of the yearling sales season in North America and the release of the 2014 Jockey Club Report of Mares Bred. Let’s take a look at some figures and trends from the Jockey Club data followed by some insights on 2014 yearling averages.

Ramsey Farm’s Kitten’s Joy led all stallions with 204 mares bred in 2014. He was among a trio of stallions that bred over 200 mares along with Into Mischief (203 at Spendthrift Farm) and Scat Daddy (202 at Ashford Stud). A pair of Hill n’ Dale Farm stallions rank next: Midnight Lute (186 mares) and Violence (181 mares).

The latter was the most popular first year stallion in Kentucky this year and is among four new stallions that covered more than 150 mares. Spendthrift’s Flat Out covered 169 mares, Ashford’s Shanghai Bobby greeted 160 and WinStar Farm’s Overanalyze courted 151 dams. Animal Kingdom is right behind having covered 148 mares at Darley America after a busy Southern Hemisphere season in Australia.

Among stallions standing their second seasons Winstar’s Bodemeister retained his immense popularity. The speedy son of Empire Maker covered 176 mares, two more than his first year. Two Lane’s End Farm stallions, The Factor and Union Rags saw their book size increase as well. The Factor bred 151 mares in 2014, up from 135 in 2013 and Union Rags saw 141 mares, four more than last year.

Breeders apparently like what they see in the first foals by the third year stallions Uncle Mo and Gio Ponti. The former covered 166, mares a 28% increase from 2013 and Gio Ponti bred 154 in his third season, up from 113 last year (an increase of 38%)

Not surprisingly the most popular fourth year stallions can be found near the top of the freshman sire standings. Warrior’s Reward bred a crop-high 164 mares (166 last year) while Super Saver saw 154 mares, a 58% increase over the 97 mares he bred in 2013.

Curlin was among the biggest winners from last year covering 152 mares, 98 more than last season. That’s an increase of 181%, highest among Kentucky stallions that bred at least 20 mares in 2013. Claiborne Farm’s Stroll saw his book increase by 89% with Tale of the Cat (up 71%), Runaway and Hide (up 64%) and Artie Schiller (up 64%) rounding out the top five in percent increase of mares bred.

The three-day Fasig-Tipton Fall Yearling sale in Kentucky was the last major yearling showcase in America so we can safely crunch some numbers.

It’s certainly not surprising to see that Tapit finished the sales year tops among North American stallions with a 2014 yearling average of $611,125. That figure is buoyed by six seven figure youngsters, including a $2.2 million colt at Keeneland September, and is 49% higher than Tapit’s 2013 average.

Everyone wanted a War Front yearling in 2014 too. The Clairborne Farm-based son of Danzig is the only other stallion with a 2014 average over $400,000 and his $539,556 average is 40% higher than last year. Medaglia d’Oro ($337,550), Bernardini ($332,968) and Distorted Humor ($272,375) round out the top five by 2014 yearling average. It’s interesting to note that Bernardini’s 2015 service fee is dropping a bit from $100,000 to $85,000 even with his yearling average increasing 26% this year. On the other hand, his barn mate at Darley, Medaglia d’Oro, saw his 2014 yearling average dip by 11%, yet he’ll stand the 2015 season for $125,000, $25,000 more than 2014.

Five Kentucky stallions (who stood for $10,000 or more in 2014) saw their yearling averages increase by 50% or more over the past year. Kitten’s Joy leads this group with an average 76% higher than 2013 ($184,475, up from $104,451). 2014 freshman sire Majesticperfection doesn’t have a stakes winner yet but yearling buyers were sold on his second crop through the ring. His yearling average rose from $61,031 to $105,750, an increase of 73%. English Channel (55% increase), Flatter (54%) and Awesome Again (53%) are the other three big commercial winners this year.

Horse of the Week: Vicar’s in Trouble

In the late 1980’s the Super Derby featured some of the decade’s best runners. Hall of Famer and champion Alysheba won the then Grade 1-fixture in 1987. Seeking the Gold won the next year followed by another Hall of Fame champion Sunday Silence. This year’s winner, Vicar’s in Trouble, will probably never be mentioned with those greats but he has developed into a very useful runner whose best days may still lie ahead.

The colt in one of the leading runners by the Harlan’s Holiday stallion Into Mischief and he did make a little history in his Super Derby victory last Saturday. He’s the first Louisiana Derby winner to come back to bayou country and take the state’s most important fall race. And he’s won both races by a combined 10 1/2 lengths after his 7 1/2-length Super Derby runaway. Vicar’s in Trouble has now won or finished third in eight of his nine starts. The Mike Maker-trained colt’s only off-the-board finish came on the first Saturday in May with a last-place run in the Kentucky Derby.

While he didn’t fulfill owners Ken and Sarah Ramsey’s long-held dream of Kentucky Derby glory, he has earned $1,110,000 for the stable this year. Th Ramseys once again lead all North American owners with nearly $6.5 million in earnings and Vicar’s in Trouble has accounted for about 17% of that total.

The bulk of the Ramsey’s success on the track over the years has come with homebreds by their top stallion Kitten’s Joy and by runners plucked from the claiming ranks. Vicar’s in Trouble, on the other hand, was purchased out of the 2013 Fasig-Tipton Maryland Two-Year-Old in Training sale. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the Ramsey’s become even more active at the sales in the future as a way to diversify their bloodstock holdings and to clear the way for more outside breeders to send mares to Kitten’s Joy.

Vicar’s in Trouble may very well end up at Ramsey Farm in Nicholasville, Kentucky standing alongside Kitten’s Joy. But for now the Ramsey’s are no doubt focused on having a much fun as possible with the colt. And no owner has more fun in the winner’s circle than Ken Ramsey.

-originally posted on http://www.myfantasystable.com